Neither condition was realized.

The Treaty of Ghent’s nominal protection for Native allies proved meaningless in practice.

The British did not have the leverage or the will to enforce it.

And once the war ended, the strategic incentive that had made Native allies valuable to the British disappeared.

The aftermath of the War of 1812 demonstrated the specific vulnerability of the alliance strategy: the Native confederacy was fighting for its existence, but the British were fighting for strategic advantage, and once their specific objectives were met, Native independence was not worth fighting over.

The Counterfactual: What Might Have Been