Imagine a scenario so improbable it sounds like political fiction: two of the most iconic figures of the last two decades facing off in a presidential race the Constitution says cannot happen.
Yet speculation refuses to die, fueled by hints, polls, and public fascination.
The idea of Donald Trump running against Barack Obama in a 2028 presidential election may sound like fantasy—but recent polling captures Americans’ opinions on the hypothetical matchup.
While the 22nd Amendment prevents either man from serving more than two terms, Trump has repeatedly hinted at exploring creative ways to return for a third term, while Obama has remained largely silent. The speculation has stirred public curiosity and online debate.
In April, when asked about a potential face-off with Obama, Trump responded enthusiastically: “I’d love that… That would be a good one. I’d like that.” He also acknowledged discussions about a possible third term but emphasized that it remains early and largely theoretical. “I want to do a fantastic job. We have four years… It’s still close to four years,” he said, adding, “I like working. I’m not joking, but it is far too early to think about it. There are methods [through] which you could do it.”
Despite the impossibility of the scenario, the Daily Mail and J.L. Partners polled 1,013 registered voters to gauge public opinion. The results suggested that if the matchup could occur, Obama would hold a slight edge: 52% favored Obama, compared to 41% for Trump. Support was particularly strong among minority voters, with 73% of Hispanic voters and 68% of Black voters choosing Obama. Notably, Obama was the only recent Democratic figure in these hypothetical matchups to outperform Trump; Hillary Clinton and Kamala Harris trailed in similar scenarios.
Obama and Trump represent two of the most influential political forces of the past twenty years. Obama won the presidency in 2008 and 2012, while Trump achieved victory in 2016, lost in 2020, and returned in 2024. Though their political legacies intersect, they have never competed directly at the ballot box—making this hypothetical matchup a fascinating “what if” exercise.
Legally, the matchup is nearly impossible. A constitutional amendment would be required, demanding approval from two-thirds of both the House and Senate, plus ratification by at least 38 states. Despite the improbability, Trump’s repeated references to “methods” for a third term keep speculation alive.
Conclusion
While an Obama–Trump contest in 2028 remains legally impossible, the poll results reveal enduring public fascination with the two leaders. Beyond numbers, the exercise highlights how “what if” scenarios capture the imagination, inviting debate about legacy, popularity, and the limits of political possibility.